Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.479982 2.621522 2.774658 2.954170 3.160892 3.394160 3.681331
2025-03-30 2.239338 2.421326 2.628739 2.887217 3.207887 3.603679 4.149556
2025-04-06 2.082601 2.280927 2.513891 2.815255 3.207615 3.723191 4.499409
2025-04-13 1.975413 2.184464 2.435745 2.770512 3.224005 3.853286 4.882488
2025-04-20 1.925680 2.150958 2.428414 2.810102 3.350984 4.152325 5.613920
2025-04-27 1.901764 2.145798 2.453911 2.892347 3.545276 4.590250 6.793285
2025-05-04 1.851061 2.102310 2.424749 2.894163 3.618047 4.845481 7.771797
2025-05-11 1.806886 2.064067 2.398961 2.896767 3.690084 5.114725 9.014352
2025-05-18 1.742536 1.995966 2.328249 2.827121 3.635025 5.128928 9.549815
2025-05-25 1.703120 1.958893 2.297790 2.814508 3.672847 5.337856 11.014785
2025-06-01 1.665084 1.921836 2.265081 2.795432 3.696352 5.522559 12.753934
2025-06-08 1.628560 1.885239 2.231002 2.771394 3.707586 5.683058 14.849655
2025-06-15 1.612522 1.876822 2.237883 2.814448 3.851881 6.227916 23.178794
2025-06-22 1.567892 1.827680 2.184001 2.756537 3.798312 6.245753 27.217440
2025-06-29 1.523980 1.778146 2.127601 2.691235 3.723891 6.188897 30.376260
2025-07-06 1.489652 1.740843 2.087640 2.650622 3.694413 6.257019 40.165141
2025-07-13 1.478634 1.735420 2.093973 2.686567 3.822773 6.855554 NaN
2025-07-20 1.478205 1.744602 2.122100 2.761060 4.044273 7.934564 NaN
2025-07-27 1.459248 1.726828 2.108712 2.762702 4.107317 8.483157 NaN
2025-08-03 1.441508 1.710196 2.096292 2.765057 4.172499 9.111662 NaN
2025-08-10 1.408956 1.671503 2.048729 2.702001 4.076274 8.892404 NaN
2025-08-17 1.390107 1.652082 2.030295 2.690563 4.103074 9.347687 NaN
2025-08-24 1.370761 1.631453 2.009284 2.673254 4.113679 9.739975 NaN